112507 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 12		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Spread	Choice
Detroit		Green Bay	6.61		6.33	3.0	A
Dallas		N.Y. Jets	-14.93		-17.92	-14.5	H
Atlanta		Indianapolis	13.70		8.83	14.0	A
Jacksonville		Buffalo	-6.58		-8.30	-8.0	H
Chicago		Denver	-1.74		1.95	-1.5	H
Cleveland		Houston	-0.64		-6.05	-3.5	H
N.Y. Giants		Minnesota	-4.14		-6.17	-7.5	H
Carolina		New Orleans	-0.62		6.95	2.5	H
Kansas City		Oakland	-3.76		-4.55	-5.0	H
St. Louis		Seattle	10.09		9.70	3.0	A
Cincinnati		Tennessee	3.58		1.08	1.5	A
Tampa Bay		Washington	-3.43		-4.05	-3.0	H
Arizona		San Francisco	-8.38		-13.42	-10.5	H
San Diego		Baltimore	-4.70		-7.17	-8.5	H
New England		Philadelphia	-17.35		-20.30	-24.0	H
Pittsburgh		Miami	-18.33		-18.67	-16.0	H
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		6	9		1
Overall		66	85		9
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Over Under	Choice
Detroit		Green Bay	54.05		36.70	47.0	O
Dallas		N.Y. Jets	58.57		39.64	48.0	O
Atlanta		Indianapolis	46.55		33.21	42.0	O
Jacksonville		Buffalo	48.16		32.34	36.5	O
Chicago		Denver	50.33		35.99	41.0	O
Cleveland		Houston	57.45		43.89	51.5	O
N.Y. Giants		Minnesota	53.58		34.96	40.0	O
Carolina		New Orleans	51.69		34.68	41.5	U
Kansas City		Oakland	44.30		30.53	34.5	U
St. Louis		Seattle	49.18		33.44	44.5	U
Cincinnati		Tennessee	51.72		38.57	46.5	O
Tampa Bay		Washington	48.06		32.44	38.0	O
Arizona		San Francisco	45.65		32.84	37.5	U
San Diego		Baltimore	50.88		34.46	39.0	O
New England		Philadelphia	51.43		40.11	51.0	O
Pittsburgh		Miami	45.68		36.41	40.5	U
Choice: O = Over; U = Under
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		10	6		0
Overall		72	83		5

11/17/2007 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 11		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Spread	Choice
Cincinnati		Arizona	0.25		-0.22	-3.0	A
Green Bay		Carolina	-9.18		-13.55	-9.5	H
Baltimore		Cleveland	-0.24		8.28	2.5	A
Indianapolis		Kansas City	-11.95		-11.38	-14.5	A
Philadelphia		Miami	-10.50		-7.05	-10.0	A
Buffalo		New England	16.26		14.53	16.5	H
Houston		New Orleans	-1.07		1.37	-1.0	A
Minnesota		Oakland	-4.35		-7.05	-4.5	H
N.Y. Jets		Pittsburgh	15.66		11.12	9.5	A
Jacksonville		San Diego	-0.64		-1.22	-3.0	A
Atlanta		Tampa Bay	3.68		1.20	3.0	H
Dallas		Washington	-8.53		-10.80	-11.0	A
Detroit		N.Y. Giants	0.31		-1.30	3.0	H
San Francisco		St. Louis	-1.84		0.43	3.0	H
Seattle		Chicago	-4.79		-3.05	-5.5	A
Denver		Tennessee	5.62		2.45	-2.5	A
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		5	8		1
Overall		60	76		8
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Over Under	Choice
Cincinnati		Arizona	52.74		38.86	48.5	U
Green Bay		Carolina	46.78		32.06	37.5	O
Baltimore		Cleveland	52.40		37.59	43.5	O
Indianapolis		Kansas City	46.98		33.17	41.5	O
Philadelphia		Miami	46.53		36.94	40.5	U
Buffalo		New England	47.78		36.77	46.5	O
Houston		New Orleans	55.55		39.22	48.0	O
Minnesota		Oakland	48.29		31.89	35.5	U
N.Y. Jets		Pittsburgh	49.56		34.98	40.5	O
Jacksonville		San Diego	52.65		34.95	40.5	O
Atlanta		Tampa Bay	42.58		28.89	35.5	O
Dallas		Washington	61.05		38.73	46.5	O
Detroit		N.Y. Giants	61.53		37.86	48.0	O
San Francisco		St. Louis	48.90		32.05	40.0	U
Seattle		Chicago	46.31		31.86	37.5	O
Denver		Tennessee	47.87		33.51	38.0	O
Choice: O = Over; U = Under
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		5	9		0
Overall		62	77		5

11/10/2007Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 10		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Spread	Choice
Carolina		Atlanta	-5.28		-2.66	-4.0	H
Miami		Buffalo	6.40		4.14	3.0	A
Pittsburgh		Cleveland	-10.13		-1.46	-10.0	H
Kansas City		Denver	-5.00		-5.86	-3.0	H
Tennessee		Jacksonville	-3.73		-2.66	-4.0	A
Green Bay		Minnesota	-6.18		-7.66	-6.0	H
Washington		Philadelphia	-0.99		-7.36	-3.0	H
New Orleans		St. Louis	-11.20		-14.76	-10.5	H
Baltimore		Cincinnati	-3.81		-0.96	-3.5	H
Oakland		Chicago	1.30		2.14	3.5	H
N.Y. Giants		Dallas	3.07		1.64	1.5	A
Arizona		Detroit	1.96		5.44	-1.5	A
San Diego		Indianapolis	6.75		3.94	3.5	A
Seattle		San Francisco	-9.01		-10.16	-9.5	H
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		8	6		0
Overall		55	68		7
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Over Under	Choice
Carolina		Atlanta	43.98		29.29	35.5	U
Miami		Buffalo	44.03		35.15	41.0	O
Pittsburgh		Cleveland	55.68		38.92	47.0	O
Kansas City		Denver	46.60		31.83	37.5	U
Tennessee		Jacksonville	43.24		29.37	35.0	U
Green Bay		Minnesota	46.67		33.39	40.5	O
Washington		Philadelphia	50.04		30.45	38.0	U
New Orleans		St. Louis	50.38		33.89	46.5	O
Baltimore		Cincinnati	52.12		36.12	44.5	O
Oakland		Chicago	46.89		32.85	38.0	U
N.Y. Giants		Dallas	65.65		38.78	49.0	U
Arizona		Detroit	55.90		35.65	45.0	U
San Diego		Indianapolis	55.10		36.92	48.5	O
Seattle		San Francisco	45.69		30.49	38.0	O
Choice: O = Over; U = Under
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		6	8
Overall		57	68		5

110307 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 9		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Spread	Choice
Tampa Bay		Arizona	-3.15		-1.87	-3.5	A
Tennessee		Carolina	-3.80		-5.90	-4.0	H
Buffalo		Cincinnati	-0.85		-0.40	1.0	H
Detroit		Denver	-3.18		-6.30	-3.0	H
Kansas City		Green Bay	4.28		3.70	-1.0	A
New Orleans		Jacksonville	4.23		1.60	-3.0	A
Minnesota		San Diego	4.30		7.00	7.0	A
Atlanta		San Francisco	-0.25		-3.30	-3.5	A
N.Y. Jets		Washington	4.65		1.73	3.5	H
Cleveland		Seattle	3.07		-5.30	-1.0	H
Oakland		Houston	1.97		1.62	-3.0	A
Indianapolis		New England	3.04		5.75	5.0	A
Philadelphia		Dallas	3.50		6.20	3.5	A
Pittsburgh		Baltimore	-6.40		-6.90	-9.5	A
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		6	7		0
Overall		47	62		7
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Over Under	Choice
Tampa Bay		Arizona	45.64		31.36	38.0	O
Tennessee		Carolina	43.84		28.60	35.5	O
Buffalo		Cincinnati	50.26		34.62	43.0	U
Detroit		Denver	56.28		35.25	46.0	U
Kansas City		Green Bay	41.62		28.39	37.0	U
New Orleans		Jacksonville	47.01		30.06	40.0	U
Minnesota		San Diego	50.79		32.83	41.5	O
Atlanta		San Francisco	42.54		28.42	37.0	U
N.Y. Jets		Washington	49.11		31.15	35.5	O
Cleveland		Seattle	53.03		36.01	46.5	U
Oakland		Houston	50.35		35.10	41.5	O
Indianapolis		New England	50.72		40.63	56.5	U
Philadelphia		Dallas	58.68		35.19	46.5	O
Pittsburgh		Baltimore	45.06		28.45	36.0	O
Choice: O = Over; U = Under
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		3	9		1
Overall		51	60		5