092907 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 4		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Spread	Choice
Cleveland		Baltimore	15.17		6.82	4.0	A
Detroit		Chicago	13.50		6.95	2.5	A
Minnesota		Green Bay	5.17		5.60	1.0	A
Atlanta		Houston	1.17		4.12	2.5	A
Buffalo		N.Y. Jets	5.17		5.42	3.5	A
Miami		Oakland	-6.50		-5.15	-4.0	H
Dallas		St. Louis	-8.17		-17.30	-13.0	A
San Francisco		Seattle	1.83		0.36	1.0	A
Carolina		Tampa Bay	-8.17		-6.56	-3.0	H
Indianapolis		Denver	-8.17		-10.90	-10.0	A
San Diego		Kansas City	-9.83		-10.59	-11.5	A
Arizona		Pittsburgh	6.83		4.79	6.0	H
N.Y. Giants		Philadelphia	1.83		1.89	2.5	H
Cincinnati		New England	8.50		3.65	7.5	H
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		6	8		2
Overall		17	26		5
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Over Under	Choice
Cleveland		Baltimore	50.26		50.99	40.0	O
Detroit		Chicago	51.61		37.79	45.0	U
Minnesota		Green Bay	39.43		43.74	37.5	O
Atlanta		Houston	38.39		37.99	39.5	U
Buffalo		N.Y. Jets	45.20		29.08	37.5	U
Miami		Oakland	43.75		41.46	41.0	O
Dallas		St. Louis	52.50		47.92	46.5	O
San Francisco		Seattle	43.85		38.93	40.5	O
Carolina		Tampa Bay	45.60		44.84	40.0	O
Indianapolis		Denver	42.63		46.77	46.5	U
San Diego		Kansas City	40.67		31.74	38.0	U
Arizona		Pittsburgh	43.60		51.78	41.5	O
N.Y. Giants		Philadelphia	58.40		50.84	47.5	O
Cincinnati		New England	52.93		66.06	53.5	O
Choice: O = Over; U = Under
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		8	6		2
Overall		24	21		3

092307 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 3		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Spread	Choice
Baltimore		Arizona	-14.83		-8.40	-9.0	A
New England		Buffalo	-13.17		-20.08	-16.5	A
Philadelphia		Detroit	-9.83		-10.48	-5.5	H
Houston		Indianapolis	8.50		1.88	6.5	A
N.Y. Jets		Miami	-8.17		-6.85	-3.0	H
Kansas City		Minnesota	-4.83		-8.33	-3.0	H
Green Bay		San Diego	6.83		4.34	5.5	H
Pittsburgh		San Francisco	-3.17		-8.10	-9.5	A
Tampa Bay		St. Louis	3.50		0.66	-3.5	A
Seattle		Cincinnati	-3.17		-11.09	-3.5	H
Oakland		Cleveland	3.50		5.55	-3.0	A
Denver		Jacksonville	-4.83		-7.05	-3.5	H
Atlanta		Carolina	1.83		4.66	3.5	H
Washington		N.Y. Giants	1.17		-1.33	-3.5	A
Chicago		Dallas	-6.50		-14.48	-3.0	H
New Orleans		Tennessee	-3.17		-4.85	-4.0	A
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		5	10		1
Overall		11	18		3
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Actual Over Under	Choice
Baltimore		Arizona	41.55		41.17	35.5	O
New England		Buffalo	42.14		44.20	41.0	O
Philadelphia		Detroit	42.86		39.23	44.0	U
Houston		Indianapolis	41.32		54.09	46.5	U
N.Y. Jets		Miami	40.27		32.25	35.5	U
Kansas City		Minnesota	34.21		29.83	33.5	U
Green Bay		San Diego	44.03		44.39	43.0	O
Pittsburgh		San Francisco	40.31		45.17	37.5	O
Tampa Bay		St. Louis	40.95		37.28	38.0	U
Seattle		Cincinnati	49.81		55.31	49.5	O
Oakland		Cleveland	50.71		48.84	41.0	O
Denver		Jacksonville	32.85		35.03	36.0	U
Atlanta		Carolina	38.37		30.28	37.5	U
Washington		N.Y. Giants	49.72		39.59	41.0	U
Chicago		Dallas	48.51		53.81	41.0	O
New Orleans		Tennessee	42.49		34.27	45.0	U
Choice: O = Over; U = Under
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		8	7		1
Overall		16	15		1

091607 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 2		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line		Actual Spread	Choice
Jacksonville		Atlanta	-12.03		-6.65		-10.0	H
Pittsburgh		Buffalo	-17.28		-10.16		-10.0	H
Cleveland		Cincinnati	17.15		7.44		7.0	A
N.Y. Giants		Green Bay	3.56		3.26		-1.0	A
Carolina		Houston	-6.90		-6.13		-6.5	H
Tennessee		Indianapolis	17.30		8.28		7.0	A
Tampa Bay		New Orleans	6.14		5.16		3.5	A
St. Louis		San Francisco	-0.31		-2.33		-3.0	A
Miami		Dallas	16.96		10.24		3.5	A
Detroit		Minnesota	1.98		2.36		-3.0	A
Arizona		Seattle	5.32		1.41		2.5	A
Chicago		Kansas City	-10.29		-7.17		-12.0	A
Baltimore		N.Y. Jets	-11.97		-7.08		-10.0	H
Denver		Oakland	-14.00		-9.19		-10.0	H
New England		San Diego	5.84		2.66		-3.5	A
Philadelphia		Washington	-7.01		-6.34		-6.5	H
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		6	8		2
Overall		6	8		2
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line		Actual Over Under	Choice
Jacksonville		Atlanta	32.27		27.22		34.5	U
Pittsburgh		Buffalo	37.48		44.41		37.5	O
Cleveland		Cincinnati	42.28		36.09		41.0	U
N.Y. Giants		Green Bay	48.88		46.00		38.0	O
Carolina		Houston	34.63		40.28		39.0	U
Tennessee		Indianapolis	42.11		50.47		45.5	U
Tampa Bay		New Orleans	39.55		27.50		41.0	U
St. Louis		San Francisco	42.03		37.28		43.5	U
Miami		Dallas	47.84		50.41		40.5	O
Detroit		Minnesota	41.50		48.34		42.5	U
Arizona		Seattle	37.30		38.78		42.5	U
Chicago		Kansas City	30.75		26.69		34.5	U
Baltimore		N.Y. Jets	42.95		37.91		33.0	O
Denver		Oakland	39.06		33.22		37.5	U
New England		San Diego	39.39		53.41		46.0	U
Philadelphia		Washington	36.52		36.53		38.5	U
Choice: O = Over; U = Under
		WINS	LOSSES		PUSH
Last Week		8	8		0
Overall		8	8		0

090507 Hedging the Straight-Line

WEEK 1		NFL 2007 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line		Actual Spread	Choice
Indianapolis		New Orleans	-1.42		-1.77		-6.0	A
Minnesota		Atlanta	0.77		0.98		-3.0	A
St. Louis		Carolina	4.48		3.03		-1.5	A
Buffalo		Denver	2.65		1.93		3.0	H
Houston		Kansas City	7.06		4.00		-3.0	A
Washington		Miami	1.67		2.14		-3.0	A
N.Y. Jets		New England	6.35		3.49		6.5	H
Green Bay		Philadelphia	8.19		4.36		3.0	A
Cleveland		Pittsburgh	10.71		6.26		4.5	A
Jacksonville		Tennessee	5.56		1.47		-6.5	A
San Diego		Chicago	-3.73		-2.70		-6.0	A
Oakland		Detroit	7.85		4.95		-1.5	A
Seattle		Tampa Bay	-11.33		-7.21		-6.0	H
Dallas		N.Y. Giants	-5.29		-2.85		-6.0	A
Cincinnati		Baltimore	4.79		3.96		-2.5	A
San Francisco		Arizona	-2.81		-1.83		-3.0	H
Choice: A = Away; H = Home
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line		Actual Over Under	Choice
Indianapolis		New Orleans	47.56		52.50		52.5	U
Minnesota		Atlanta	37.66		35.88		36.0	U
St. Louis		Carolina	41.34		39.81		42.5	U
Buffalo		Denver	38.59		38.69		37.0	O
Houston		Kansas City	39.97		37.38		38.0	U
Washington		Miami	38.31		35.44		35.0	O
N.Y. Jets		New England	37.78		43.81		41.0	U
Green Bay		Philadelphia	43.53		43.69		43.5	O
Cleveland		Pittsburgh	39.44		36.94		36.5	O
Jacksonville		Tennessee	42.78		43.44		37.5	O
San Diego		Chicago	46.16		57.44		42.5	O
Oakland		Detroit	37.59		29.56		40.0	U
Seattle		Tampa Bay	38.75		34.13		41.0	U
Dallas		N.Y. Giants	46.63		48.75		44.0	O
Cincinnati		Baltimore	39.31		45.38		40.5	U
San Francisco		Arizona	42.66		38.25		45.0	U
Choice: O = Over; U = Under